October 6, 2019 by squish
Written by Gerry Leung
Another solid week with McCaffrey tearing up the Texans D, Kupp continuing his hot start and Tight ends continuing to produce fantasy points against the Cardinals. Even Luke Wilson who the Seahawks picked up off the streets came in and caught 2 passes for 26 yards last week on limited snaps. Fuller disappointed but he did see 6 targets in that game. Again, he relies heavily on air yards which makes him a nice tournament play week to week. But when he does hit, he hits big and that’s what we really need to win tournaments. Again, it was a very solid weekend in DFS and I hope you guys took advantage of some of my picks. Let’s continue it this week with another edition of the core 4.
Christian McCaffrey RB – ($8700 DK/$9100 FD)
There’s no doubt that McCaffrey is a true RB1. With the usage that he’s seeing he should be locked in every week in DFS. He’s simply too underpriced and should be at least $10,000. McCaff saw 37 touches last week and is essentially a RB1/WR1. He has played on almost 99% of the snaps for the Panthers this year and we don’t see that changing anytime soon.
The Jaguars defense is also not as intimidating as they’ve been in the past. They’ve allowed an 80% completion rate to opposing running backs this year and Ramsey is also going to be out for this game. Roster McCaffrey confidently this week!
David Johnson RB – (7500 DK/ $6800 FD)
Christian Kirk will be missing this game due to a high ankle sprain. We can expect the cardinals to run a combination of Fitzgerald, Pharoh Cooper and David Johnson in the slot. Johnson has already lined up in the slot on 33 of his 229 snaps this season (14%). With an expected uptick in his passing game usage this week, David Johnson could return a top 10 WR output.
The Bengals defense has also allowed 572 rushing yards on the ground through 4 weeks as well. Similar to McCaffrey, David Johnson has the potential upside to finish as a RB1/WR1 this week. These 2 players will be a staple in all my DFS lineups this week.
Auden Tate WR – (3500 DK/ $5300 FD)
With John Ross on IR and AJ Green still sidelined, the healthy Bengals receivers this week are Tyler Boyd, Auden Tate and Damion Willis. Tate is strictly a price play here and is too cheap across the industry. He should be seeing a big chunk of the workload with ross missing time in this up-tempo game against the Cardinals. Prior to Ross’s injury Tate saw 89% and 93% of snaps over his last 2 weeks which is promising. Tate’s salary relief will help you spend up on a guy like McCaffrey or David Johnson.
Javon Wims WR – ($3500 DK/$4500 FD)
The Bears will travel to London without Taylor Gabriel to take on the Raiders. Javon Wims, preseason hero, will be filling in for Gabriel. Wims saw 29%, 30% 26% of snaps in the first 3 weeks before hitting 94% last week. He played more snaps than Allen Robinson in week 4 with Gabriel out and caught 4 of 5 passes for 56 yards. He’s not a going to blow up any box scores but at his cost he makes a great value
play to fit in some higher priced players. With the extra volume and usage he’s seeing he could pay off against this weak Raiders secondary.
** I did not write up a tight end this week against the Cardinals but I do think Eifert is still a good play. My only concern is that the Bengals utilize multiple tight ends and there’s too much to go around. I still expect the Bengals tight ends to be productive against them this week but figuring out which one is going to be tough. I will still have shares of Eifert this week against the Cardinals D.**
Being successful in DFS comes down to your ability to identify news, matchups, and value. Each week, I’ll go through my top 4 core plays highlighting players with the most volume and value. While things may change leading up to kickoff, please be sure to check lineups following injuries or inactives. Good luck this week and feel free to hit me up on twitter with any questions @GK_Leung.